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Notes on
Anthony "Tony" Lake
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- Anthony "Tony" Lake had resigned from
Foreign Service due to the Cambodian Invasion and
Henry Kissinger taping his phones. Rubin,
Barry Secrets of State. Page 176.
- Supported Sen. Edmund Muskie for President. Online
NewsHour: Anthony Lake withdraws -- March 18,
1997
- Lake said and, "later retracted, that
evidence against New Deal diplomat Alger Hiss,
who was accused of spying and convicted of
perjury, was inconclusive." Online
NewsHour: The Troubled Anthony Lake Nomination --
February 27, 1997
- Lake was accused of supporting the Khmer Rouge by
the far right-wingers. The
New American - The Ordeal of Anthony Lake - April
14, 1997
- Speech
by Anthony Lake
- Profile
of Anthony Lake
- "Born in 1939 in New York
City."
- "1962, Lake joined the Foreign
Service, and was posted to Vietnam, where
he became a special assistant to
then-ambassador Henry Cabot Lodge".
- "Lake rose quickly to become an aide
to Secretary of State Kissinger in
1969."
- "In 1970, he had a falling out with
Kissinger over the Nixon administration's
extension of the war to Cambodia."
- "In 1977, Lake became head of the
State Department's policy planning
operation in the administration of Jimmy
Carter. In that position, he reported
directly to Secretary of State Cyrus
Vance and was witness to the bureaucratic
maneuvering that went on between Vance
and Carter's national security adviser,
Zbigniew Brzezinski."
- "In 1981, when Ronald Reagan became
president, Lake withdrew into academia,
becoming a professor at Amherst College
in Massachusetts."
- "In 1984, he moved to Mount Holyoke
College, where he has taught courses in
the Vietnam War, Third World revolutions,
and American foreign policy. During the
1992 presidential campaign, he was one of
candidate Clinton's chief foreign policy
advisers. (Clinton and Lake had worked
together in the 1972 presidential
campaign of George McGovern.)
- "Old friend of Warren
Christopher." (Clinton's first
secretary of state.)
- Lake, Anthony. Somoza Falling - The Nicaraguan
Dilemma: A Portrait of Washington At Work Boston:
Houghton Mifflin, 1989
- Lake, Anthony. Six Nightmares. New York: Little
Brown 2000.
- Lake, Anthony. After the Wars- Reconstruction in
Afghanistan, Indochina, Central America, Southern
Africa, and the Horn of Africa, U.S.-Third World
Policy Perspectives, No. 16 Overseas Development
Council 1990.
- Lake, Anthony. The Tar Baby Option. New York:
Columbia University Press, 1976.
- I.M. Destler, Gelb, Leslie H. and Lake, Anthony.
Our Own Worst Enemy : The Unmaking of American
Foreign Policy. Simon & Schuster, Inc. 1985
- Lake, Anthony. (edited by) The legacy of Vietnam.
New York: New York University Press, 1976 .
- Lake, Anthony. Third World Radical Regimes: U.S.
Policy Under Carter and Reagan. 1985.
- TEXT: ANTHONY LAKE ON A SECOND 'AMERICAN CENTURY'
(The Washington Post 05/03/96 op-ed piece)
May 3, 1996
(Public domain -- no republication restrictions.)
Will America stay engaged in the new post-Cold
War world it has helped create? Or will we
instead heed those who would, either out of
apathy or parsimony, restrict our nation's unique
ability to shape the world's future and our own?
Congress, and through it the American people,
will face these questions in the coming days when
it reviews the funding for America's
international activities for 1997.
By any measure, the amount we spend on
international activities is extremely modest.
Total resources committed to our international
agenda is a very small percentage of the federal
budget -- only 1.3 percent -- and an even smaller
proportion of our gross national product --
two-tenths of one percent. Contrary to popular
perception, the United States provides less than
20 percent of the world's foreign assistance, and
20 countries already contribute more than we do
as a percentage of GNP. And we have been doing
more with less for years: The annual U.S. budget
for international affairs has declined 40 percent
in real terms since 1985.
Despite its modest size, the effect of our
international budget on the lives of Americans is
profound and direct.
First, our international budget is making our
people more prosperous by expanding and opening
markets for American goods and services. For
example, U.S. exports to Latin America in a
single year -- 1993 -- were 2.5 times greater
than all the economic assistance we had provided
to that continent in the previous 45 years.
Forty-three of the world's 50 largest importers
of U.S. agricultural products once received U.S.
food aid. Developing countries and countries
making the transition from communism to market
democracy represent about 40 percent of our
export markets and support millions of American
jobs. Between 1990 and 1995, U.S. exports to
these countries alone increased by $98.7 billion.
Simply put, foreign assistance is good business.
Second, our international budget is making our
people safer at a time when threats to their
security transcend national boundaries. These
resources combat a host of
"equal-opportunity destroyers," among
them: nuclear and conventional weapons
proliferation, environmental degradation,
terrorism, international organized crime and drug
trafficking, stateless and rogue-state violence
and the uncontrolled flow of refugees. Taken
individually, these threats destroy innocent
lives. Together, they can threaten the fabric of
an open and democratic society.
Every dollar we devote to this effort can mean
fewer drugs on our streets and more terrorists
stopped or brought to justice before they strike.
Foreign aid can mean more nuclear weapons
dismantled and a halt to nuclear weapons programs
around the world. It can mean more international
peacekeepers to help stop regional conflicts that
affect U.S. interests. It can mean more
ecosystems protected and more humanitarian needs
met. And it can mean more democracies and fewer
dictatorships.
The case for American leadership in the world --
and the resources for its effective exercise --
is compelling. In the days and weeks ahead, we
hope Congress will join with the president in
helping shape a second "American
century" of security and prosperity.
Decisions on funding for the coming year will be
a clear measure of our commitment to that vision.
(The writer is assistant to the president for
national security affairs.)
- REMARKS OF ANTHONY LAKE
Assistant to the President for National Security
Affairs
"From Containment to Enlargement"
Johns Hopkins University
School of Advanced International Studies
Washington, D.C.
September 21, 1993
Embargoed until delivery
Remarks as prepared; verify against delivery
I have come to speak with you today because I
believe our nation's policies toward the world
stand at an historic crossroads. For half a
century America's engagement in the world
revolved around containment of a hostile Soviet
Union. Our efforts helped block Soviet
expansionism, topple Communist repression and
secure a great victory for human freedom.
Clearly, the Soviet Union's collapse enhances our
security. But it also requires us to think anew
because the world is new.
In particular, with the end of the Cold War,
there is no longer a consensus among the American
people around why, and even whether our nation
should remain actively engaged in the world.
Geography and history always have made Americans
wary of foreign entanglements. Now economic
anxiety fans that wariness. Calls from the left
and right to stay at home rather than engage
abroad are re-enforced by the rhetoric of
Neo-Know-Nothings.
Those of us who believe in the imperative of our
international engagement must push back. For that
reason, as President Clinton sought the
presidency, he not only pledged a domestic
renaissance, but also vowed to engage actively in
the world in order to increase our prosperity,
update our security arrangements and promote
democracy abroad.
Pursuing American Interests Abroad
In the eight months since he took office,
President Clinton has pursued those goals
vigorously. We have completed a sweeping review
of our military strategy and forces. We have led
a global effort to support the historic reforms
in Russia and the other new states. We have
helped defend democracy in Haiti and Guatemala
and secured important side agreements that pave
the way for enactment of the North American Free
Trade Agreement. We have facilitated major
advances in the Mideast peace process, working
with our Arab partners while strengthening our
bonds with Israel. We have pursued steps with our
G-7 partners to stimulate world economic growth.
We have placed our relations with Japan on a new
foundation and set a vision of a New Pacific
Community. We are putting in place practical
policies to preserve the environment and to limit
the spread of weapons of mass destruction. We
have proceeded with sweeping reductions in
nuclear arms and declared a moratorium on testing
as we move toward a comprehensive test ban. We
have struggled with the complex tragedy in
Bosnia. And we have worked to complete our
mission or ensuring lasting relief from
starvation in Somalia.
But engagement itself is not enough. We also need
to communicate anew why that engagement is
essential. If we do not, our government's
reactions to foreign events can seem
disconnected; individual setbacks may appear to
define the whole; public support for our
engagement likely would wane; and America could
be harmed by a rise in protectionism, unwise cuts
to our military force structure or readiness, a
loss of the resources necessary for our diplomacy
-- and thus the erosion of US influence abroad.
Stating our purpose is neither academic nor
rhetorical. What we do outside our borders has
immediate and lasting consequences for all
Americans. As the President often notes, the line
between foreign and domestic policy has
evaporated. Our choices about America's foreign
policy will help determine
Whether Americans' real incomes double every 26
years, as they did in the 1960s, or every 36
years, as they did during the late '70s and '80s.
Whether the 25 nations with weapons or mass
destruction grow in number or decline.
Whether the next quarter century will see
terrorism, which injured or killed more than 2000
Americans during the last quarter century, expand
or recede as a threat
Whether the nations or the world will be more
able or less able to address regional disputes,
humanitarian needs and the threat of
environmental degradation.
I do not presume today to define the
Administration's entire foreign policy vision.
But following on Secretary Christopher's speech
yesterday, and anticipating the address the
President will make to the United Nations General
Assembly on Monday, I want to suggest some broad
principles, as a contribution to an essential
national dialogue about our purpose in the world.
America's Core Concepts: Democracy and Market
Economies
Let us begin by taking stock of our new era. Four
facts are salient. First, America's core concepts
-- democracy and market economics -- are more
broadly accepted than ever. Over the past ten
years the number of democracies has nearly
doubled. Since 1970, the number of significant
command economies dropped from 10 to 3.
This victory of freedom is practical, not
ideological: billions of people on every
continent are simply concluding, based on decades
of their own hard experience, that democracy and
markets are the most productive and liberating
ways to organize their lives.
Their conclusion resonates with America's core
values. We see individuals as equally created
with a God-given right to life, liberty and the
pursuit of happiness. So we trust in the equal
wisdom of free individuals to protect those
rights: through democracy, as the process for
best meeting shared needs in the face of
competing desires; and through markets as the
process for best meeting private needs in a way
that expands opportunity.
Both processes strengthen each other: democracy
alone can produce justice, but not the material
goods necessary for individuals to thrive;
markets alone can expand wealth, but not that
sense of justice without which civilized
societies perish.
Democracy and market economics are ascendant in
this new era, but they are not everywhere
triumphant. There remain vast areas in Asia,
Africa, the Middle East and elsewhere where
democracy and market economics are at best new
arrivals -- most likely unfamiliar, sometimes
vilified, often fragile.
But it is wrong to assume these ideas will be
embraced only by the West and rejected by the
rest. Culture does shape politics and economics.
But the idea of freedom has universal appeal.
Thus, we have arrived at neither the end of
history nor a clash of civilizations, but a
moment of immense democratic and entrepreneurial
opportunity. We must not waste it.
The second feature of this era is that we are its
dominant power. Those who say otherwise sell
America snort. The fact is, we have the world's
strongest military, its largest economy and its
most dynamic, multiethnic society. We are setting
a global example in our efforts to reinvent our
democratic and market institutions. Our
leadership is sought and respected in every
corner of the world. As Secretary Christopher
noted yesterday that is why the parties to last
week's dramatic events chose to shake hands in
Washington. Around the world, America's power,
authority and example provide unparalleled
opportunities to lead.
Moreover, absent a reversal in Russia, there is
now no near-term threat to America's existence.
Serious threats remain: terrorism, proliferating
weapons of mass destruction, ethnic conflicts and
the degradation of our global environment. Above
all, we are threatened by sluggish economic
growth, which undermines the security of our
people as well as that of allies and friends
abroad. Yet none of these threats holds the same
immediate dangers for us as did Nazi conquest or
Soviet expansionism.
America's challenge today is to lead on the basis
of opportunity more than fear.
The third notable aspect of this era is an
explosion of ethnic conflicts. As Senator
Moynihan and others have noted, the end of the
Cold War and the collapse of various repressive
regimes has removed the lid from numerous
caldrons of ethnic, religious or factional
hatreds. In many states of the former Soviet
Union and elsewhere, there is a tension between
the desire for ethnic separatism and the creation
of liberal democracy, which alone can safely
accommodate and even celebrate differences among
citizens. A major challenge to our thinking, our
policies and our international institutions in
this era is the fact that most conflicts are
taking place within rather than among nations.
These conflicts are typically highly complex; at
the same time, their brutality will tug at our
consciences. We need a healthy wariness about our
ability to shape solutions for such disputes, yet
at times our interests or humanitarian concerns
will impel our unilateral or multilateral
engagement.
The fourth feature of this new era is that the
pulse of the planet has accelerated dramatically
and with it the pace of change in human events.
Computers, faxes, fiber optic cables and
satellites all speed the flow of information. The
measurement of wealth, and increasingly wealth
itself, consists in bytes of data that move at
the speed of light.
The accelerated pace of events is neither bad nor
good. Its sharp consequences can cut either way.
It means both doctors and terrorists can more
quickly share their technical secrets. Both
prodemocracy activists and skinhead anarchists
can more broadly spread their views. Ultimately,
the world's acceleration creates new and diverse
ways for us to exert our influence, if we choose
to do so -- but increases the likelihood that, if
we do not, rapid events, instantly reported, may
overwhelm us. As the President has suggested, we
must decide whether to make change our ally or
allow ourselves to become its victims.
From Containment to Enlargement
In such a world, our interests and ideals compel
us not only to be engaged, but to lead. And in a
real-time world of change and information, it is
all the more important that our leadership be
steadied around our central purpose.
That purpose can be found in the underlying
rationale for our engagement throughout this
century. As we fought aggressors and contained
communism, our engagement abroad was animated
both by calculations of power and by this belief:
to the extent democracy and market economics hold
sway in other nations, our own nation will be
more secure, prosperous and influential, while
the broader world will be more humane and
peaceful.
The expansion of market-based economics abroad
helps expand our exports and create American
jobs, while it also improves living conditions
and fuels demands for political liberalization
abroad. The addition of new democracies makes us
more secure because democracies tend not to wage
war on each other or sponsor terrorism. They are
more trustworthy in diplomacy and do a better job
of respecting the human rights of their people.
These dynamics lay at the heart of Woodrow
Wilson's most profound insights; although his
moralism sometimes weakened his argument, he
understood that our own security is shaped by the
character of foreign regimes. Indeed, most
Presidents who followed, Republicans and
Democrats alike, understood we must promote
democracy and market economics in the world --
because it protects our interests and security;
and because it reflects values that are both
American and universal.
Throughout the Cold War, we contained a global
threat to market democracies; now we should seek
to enlarge their reach, particularly in places of
special significance to us.
The successor to a doctrine of containment must
be a strategy of enlargement -- enlargement of
the world's free community of market democracies.
During the Cold War, even children understood
America's security mission; as they looked at
those maps on their schoolroom walls, they knew
we were trying to contain the creeping expansion
of that big, red blob. Today, at great risk of
oversimplification, we might visualize our
security mission as promoting the enlargement of
the "blue areas" of market democracies.
The difference, of course, is that we do not seek
to expand the reach of our institutions by force,
subversion or repression.
We must not allow this overarching goal to drive
us into overreaching actions. To be successful, a
strategy of enlargement must provide distinctions
and set priorities. It must combine our broad
goals of fostering democracy and markets with our
more traditional geostrategic interests. And it
must suggest how best to expend our large but
nonetheless limited national security resources:
financial, diplomatic and military.
In recent years, discussions about when to use
force have turned on a set of vital questions,
such as whether our forces match our objectives;
whether we can fight and win in a time that is
acceptable; whether we have a reasonable exit if
we do not; whether there is public and
congressional support. But we have overlooked a
prior, strategic question -- the question of
"where" -- which sets the context for
such military judgments.
I see four components to a strategy of
enlargement.
First, we should strengthen the community of
major market democracies - including our own - -
which constitutes the core from which enlargement
is proceeding.
Second, we should help foster and consolidate new
democracies and market economies, where possible,
especially in states of special significance and
opportunity.
Third, we must counter the aggression - - and
support the liberalization - - of states hostile
to democracy and markets.
Fourth, we need to pursue our humanitarian agenda
not only by providing aid, but also by working to
help democracy and market economics take root in
regions of greatest humanitarian concern.
A host of caveats must accompany a strategy of
enlargement. For one, we must be patient. As
scholars observe waves of democratic advance are
often followed by reverse waves of democratic
setback. We must be ready for uneven progress,
even outright reversals.
Our strategy must be pragmatic. Our interests in
democracy and markets do not stand alone. Other
American interests at times will require us to
befriend and even defend non-democratic states
for mutually beneficial reasons.
Our strategy must view democracy broadly -- it
must envision a system that includes not only
elections but also such features as an
independent judiciary and protections of human
rights.
Our strategy must also respect diversity.
Democracy and markets can come in many legitimate
variants. Freedom has many faces.
Strengthening the Community of Major Market
Democracies
Let me review each of the four components of this
strategy in greater detail.
It is axiomatic in electoral campaigns that you
start by firming up your political base. The same
is true in international politics. Thus, the
highest priority in a strategy of enlargement
must be to strengthen the core of major market
democracies, the bonds among them and their sense
of common interest.
That renewal starts at home. Our efforts to
empower our people, revive our economy, reduce
our deficit and re-invent our government have
profound implications for our global strength and
the attractiveness of democracy and markets
around the world. Our domestic revival will also
influence how much of their hard-earned money
Americans will commit to our engagement abroad.
The imperative of strengthening the democratic
core also underscores the importance of renewing
the bonds among our key democratic allies. Today
our relations with Europe, Canada and Japan are
basically sound. But they suffer from an economic
problem and a military problem.
The economic problem is shared sluggish growth
and the political cost it exacts on democratic
governments. For example, over the past decade,
many western European nations have not created a
single net job. Partly as a result, most of our
key allies are now sitting atop thin treasures
and thin political majorities. Economic
stagnation and its political consequences
undermine the ability of the major democratic
powers to act decisively on our many common
challenges, from the GATT to Bosnia.
Fortunately, many of our democratic allies are
undertaking searching re-examinations of
government processes and domestic policies, just
as we are. These efforts should proceed boldly --
not only for the sake of justice and prosperity
in each of our nations, but also so that our
democratic community once again can act with
vigor and resolve.
That is why we are leading the effort to secure a
successful GATT agreement by year's end. And it
is why enactment of NAFTA is one of the
President's top priorities. But while these
specific agreements are of enormous importance,
this need for economic renewal goes even further.
We are in the early stages of as great a change
in the global economy as we faced at the end of
World War II. And with hard times in all our
nations, we face the possibility of creating
vicious rather than virtuous circles of
international economic action. Unless the major
market democracies act together -- updating
international economic institutions, coordinating
macroeconomic policies and striking hard but fair
bargains on the ground rules of open trade -- the
fierce competition of the new global economy,
coupled with the end of our common purpose from
the Cold War, could drive us into prolonged
stagnation or even economic disaster.
The military problem involves NATO. For half a
century NATO has proved itself the most effective
military alliance in human history. If NATO is to
remain an anchor for European and Atlantic
stability, as the President believes it must, its
members must commit themselves to updating NATO's
role in this new era. Unless NATO is willing over
time to assume a broader role, then it will lose
public support, and all our nations will lose a
vital bond of transatlantic and European
security. That is why, at the NATO summit that
the President has called for this January, we
will seek to update NATO so that there continues
behind the enlargement of market democracies an
essential collective security.
Fostering New Democracies and Market Economies
Beyond seeing to our base, the second imperative
for our strategy must be to help democracy and
markets expand and survive in other places where
we have the strongest security concerns and where
we can make the greatest difference. This is not
a democratic crusade; it is a pragmatic
commitment to see freedom take hold where that
will help us most. Thus, we must target our
effort to assist states that affect our strategic
interests, such as those with large economies,
critical locations, nuclear weapons or the
potential to generate refugee flows into our own
nation or into key friends and allies. We must
focus our efforts where we have the most
leverage. And our efforts must be demand-driven
-- they must focus on nations whose people are
pushing for reform or have already secured it.
The most important example is the former Soviet
Union -- and it fits the criteria I just noted.
If we can support and help consolidate democratic
and market reforms in Russia and the other newly
independent states, we can help turn a former
threat into a region of valued diplomatic and
economic partners. In addition, our efforts in
Russia, Ukraine and the other states raise the
likelihood of continued reductions in nuclear
arms and compliance with international
non-proliferation accords.
The new democracies in Central and Eastern Europe
are another clear example, given their proximity
to the great democratic powers of Western Europe.
And since our ties across the Pacific are no less
important than those across the Atlantic,
pursuing enlargement in the Asian Pacific is a
third example. In July, the President underscored
that point in Japan and Korea with his
descriptions of a New Pacific Community.
Continuing the great strides toward democracy and
markets in our emerging Western Hemispheric
Community of Democracies also must be a key
concern. And we should be on the lookout for
states whose entry into the camp of market
democracies may influence the future direction of
an entire region; South Africa and Nigeria now
hold that potential with regard to sub-Saharan
Africa.
How should the United States help consolidate and
enlarge democracy and markets in these states?
The answers are as varied as the nations
involved, but there are common elements. We must
continue to help lead the effort to mobilize
international resources, as we have with Russia
and the other new states. We must be willing to
take immediate public positions to help staunch
democratic reversals, as we have in Haiti,
Guatemala and Nigeria. We must give democratic
nations the fullest benefits of integration into
foreign markets, which is part of why NAFTA and
the GATT rank so high on our security agenda. We
must link wider access to technology markets with
commitments to abide by nonproliferation norms.
And we must help these nations strengthen the
pillars of civil society, improve their market
institutions, and fight corruption and political
discontent through practices of good governance.
In all these efforts, a policy of enlargement
should take on a second meaning: we should pursue
our goals through an enlarged circle not only of
government officials but also of private and
non-governmental groups. Private firms are
natural allies in our efforts to strengthen
market economies. Similarly, our goal of
strengthening democracy and civil society has a
natural ally in labor unions, human rights
groups, environmental advocates, chambers of
commerce, and election monitors. Just as we rely
on force multipliers in defense, we should
welcome these "diplomacy multipliers"
such as the National Endowment for Democracy.
The "Backlash" States
The third element of our strategy of enlargement
should be to minimize the ability of states
outside the circle of democracy and markets to
threaten it.
Democracy and market economics have always been
subversive ideas to those who rule without
consent. These ideas remain subversive today.
Every dictator, theocrat, kleptocrat or central
planner In an unelected regime has reason to fear
their subjects will suddenly demand the freedom
to make their own decisions.
We should expect the advance of democracy and
markets to trigger forceful reactions from those
whose power is not popularly derived. The rise of
Burma's democracy movement led to the jailing of
its most vocal proponent, Aung San Suu Kyi.
Russia's reforms have aroused the resistance of
the nomenklatura.
Centralized power defends itself. It not only
wields tools of state power such as military
force, political imprisonment and torture, but
also exploits the intolerant energies of racism,
ethnic prejudice, religious persecution,
xenophobia, and irredentism. Those whose power is
threatened by the spread of democracy and markets
will always have a personal stake in resisting
those practices with passionate intensity.
When such leaders sit atop regional powers, such
as Iran and Iraq, they may engage in violence and
lawlessness that threatens the United States and
other democracies. Such reactionary,
"backlash" states are more likely to
sponsor terrorism and traffic in weapons of mass
destruction and ballistic missile technologies.
They are more likely to suppress their own
people, foment ethnic rivalries and threaten
their neighbors.
In this world of multiplying democracies,
expanding markets and accelerating commerce, the
rulers or backlash states face an unpleasant
choice. They can seek to isolate their people
from these liberating forces. If they do,
however, they cut themselves off from the very
forces that create wealth and social dynamism.
Such states tend to rot from within both
economically and spiritually. But as they grow
weaker, they also may become more desperate and
dangerous.
Our policy toward such states, so long as they
act as they do, must seek to isolate them
diplomatically, militarily, economically, and
technologically. It must stress intelligence,
counterterrorism, and multilateral export
controls. It also must apply global norms
regarding weapons of mass destruction and ensure
their enforcement. While some of these efforts
will be unilateral, international rules are
necessary and may be particularly effective in
enforcing sanctions, transparency and export
controls, as the work of the IAEA in Iraq
demonstrates.
When the actions of such states directly threaten
our people, our forces, or our vital interests,
we clearly must be prepared to strike back
decisively and unilaterally, as we did when Iraq
tried to assassinate former President Bush. We
must always maintain the military power necessary
to deter, or if necessary defeat, aggression by
these regimes. Because the source of such threats
will be diverse and unpredictable, we must seek
to ensure that our forces are increasingly ready,
mobile, flexible and smart, as the President and
Secretary Aspin have stressed.
Let me take a moment to illustrate what America's
armed forces are doing, right now as we meet: In
South Korea, some 37,000 U.S. troops are on guard
against aggression from the North. In the Persian
Gulf, the "Abraham Lincoln" carrier
battle group and other forces remain stationed as
a follow up to Operation Desert Storm. And as we
move toward new Middle East peace agreements,
some 1000 soldiers continue to help keep the
peace in the Sinai peninsula. Such forces cost
money. Some people may regret our "Bottom up
Review" did not suggest a substantially
smaller or cheaper force. But the fact is: these
forces, the world's very best, are part of the
necessary price of security and leadership in the
world.
While some backlash states may seek to wall
themselves off from outside influence, other
anti-democratic states will opt to pursue greater
wealth by liberalizing their economic rules.
Sooner or later, however, these states confront
the need to liberalize the flow of information
into and within their nation, and to tolerate the
rise of an entrepreneurial middle-class. Both
developments weaken despotic rule and lead over
time to rising demands for democracy.
Chiles experience under General Pinochet
proves market economies can thrive for a time
without democracy. But both our instinct and
recent history in Chile, South Korea and
elsewhere tell us they cannot do so forever.
We cannot impose democracy on regimes that appear
to be opting for liberalization, but we may be
able to help steer some of them down that path
while providing penalties that raise the costs of
repression and aggressive behavior. These efforts
have special meaning for our relations with
China. That relationship is one of the most
important in the world, for China will
increasingly be a major world power, and along
with our ties to Japan and Korea, our
relationship with China will strongly shape both
our security and economic interests in Asia. It
is in the interest of both our nations for China
to continue its economic liberalization while
respecting the human rights of its people and
international norms regarding weapons sales. That
is why we conditionally extended China's trading
advantages, sanctioned its missile exports and
proposed creation of a new Radio Free Asia. We
seek a stronger relationship with China that
reflects both our values and our interests.
Our policies toward the Islamic world prove
another example. Let me emphasize this point: our
nation respects the many contributions Islam has
made to the world over the past 1300 years, and
we appreciate the close bonds of values and
history between Islam and the Judeo-Christian
beliefs of most Americans. We will extend every
expression or friendship to those of the Islamic
faith who abide in peace and tolerance. But we
will provide every resistance to militants who
distort Islamic doctrines and seek to expand
their influence by force.
The Humanitarian Agenda
The fourth part of a strategy of enlargement
involves our humanitarian goals, which play an
important supporting role in our efforts to
expand democracy and markets. Our humanitarian
actions nurture the American public's support for
our engagement abroad. Our humanitarian efforts
also can stimulate democratic and market
development in many areas of the world.
Ultimately, the world trusts our leadership in
that broader effort in part because it witnesses
our humanitarian deeds: it knows that our
responses to hunger and suffering, from
Bangladesh to Somalia to Chernobyl, are an
expression of who we are as a nation. Our
humanitarian efforts must continue to include a
broad array of programs -- economic and military
assistance, disaster relief, and projects to
assist education, nutrition and health. Over the
coming months we plan to work with Congress to
reform this array of aid programs -- to focus
them more strategically and efficiently on the
promotion of democracy and markets,
environmentally sustainable development and early
responses to social and economic chaos.
We face great challenges to our humanitarian
instincts in this era, and far fewer barriers to
action than there were during the period of
superpower competition. Public pressure for our
humanitarian engagement increasingly may be
driven by televised images, which can depend in
turn on such considerations as where CNN sends
its camera crews. But we must bring other
considerations to bear as well: cost;
feasibility; the permanence of the improvement
our assistance will bring; the willingness of
regional and international bodies to do their
part; and the likelihood that our actions will
generate broader security benefits for the people
and the region in question.
While there will be increasing calls on us to
help stem bloodshed and suffering in ethnic
conflicts, and while we will always bring our
diplomacy to bear, these criteria suggest there
will be relatively few intra-national ethnic
conflicts that justify our military intervention.
Ultimately, on these and other humanitarian
needs, we will have to pick and choose.
Where we can make a difference, as in Somalia and
Northern Iraq, we should not oppose using our
military forces for humanitarian purposes simply
because these missions do not resemble major wars
for control of territory. Such missions will
never be without risk, but as in all other
aspects of our security policy, our military
leadership is willing to accept reasonable risks
in the service or our national objectives.
Ultimately, it is through our support for
democracy and sustainable development that we
best enhance the dramatic new winds of change
that are stirring much of the developing world.
In Africa, for example, we recently have seen the
birth of democracy in Namibia and multiparty
elections in over a dozen African countries.
These developments, combined with new efforts at
regional conflict resolution and a shift away
from planned economies, provide real hope that
sub-Saharan Africa can at long last begin to
realize her vast potential. One key to that
progress will be South Africa, which has now
begun its historic countdown toward a full
non-racial democracy. Just as our strategy of
enlargement focuses on key points of leverage, so
our strategy toward Africa must focus on
providing international leadership to help South
Africa's transition succeed.
Current Foreign Policy Debates in Perspective
What does a strategy of enlargement tell us about
the major foreign policy debates we hear today?
Above all, it suggests many of those debates are
overdrawn. The headlines are dominated by Bosnia,
Somalia, and "multilateralism." A
strategy of enlargement suggests our principal
concerns should be strengthening our democratic
core in North America, Europe and Japan;
consolidating and enlarging democracy and markets
in key places; and addressing backlash states
such as Iran and Iraq. Our efforts in Somalia and
Bosnia are important expressions of our overall
engagement; but they do not by themselves define
our broader strategy in the world.
The conflict in Bosnia deserves American
engagement: it is a vast humanitarian tragedy; it
is driven by ethnic barbarism; it stemmed from
aggression against an independent state; it lies
alongside the established and emerging market
democracies of Europe and can all too easily
explode into a wider Balkan conflict.
That is why this Administration supported lifting
the arms embargo against Bosnia, led a successful
effort to enforce the no-fly zone, initiated a
large-scale humanitarian airlift, and pushed
NATO's pledge of air strikes to stop the
strangulation of Sarajevo and other Bosnian
cities. It is why we remain committed to helping
implement an acceptable and enforceable peace
accord, and through that commitment, encourage
its achievement. But while we have clear reasons
to engage and persist, they do not obliterate
other American interests involving Europe and
Russia, and they do not justify the extreme costs
of taking unilateral responsibility for imposing
a solution.
In Somalia, President Bush engaged our forces to
help end a murderous famine. He correctly
concluded we could create a secure military
environment for humanitarian relief at a
reasonable cost and risk. As a result our nation
helped save hundreds of thousands of lives and
restored order throughout most of Somalia. As we
have approached our goals, we have reduced our
military presence by 80 percent and transferred
lead responsibility for peacekeeping and
reconstruction to the UN. The withdrawal of our
remaining combat troops is only a matter of time
but it must not come in a way that undermines all
the gains made in the areas beyond Mogadishu and
leads, almost inexorably, to the chaos which
caused the human tragedy in the first place.
Unfortunately, debates over both Bosnia and
Somalia have been cast as doctrinal matters
involving the role of multilateralism. This focus
is misplaced. Certainly, in each case -- as in
Cambodia and elsewhere -- our actions are making
multilateral case law for the future. But we
should not let the particular define the
doctrine. So let me say a word about the current
doctrinal debate on multilateralism -- a subject
Ambassador Albright will address more fully on
Thursday.
I believe strongly that our foreign policies must
marry principle and pragmatism. We should be
principled about our purposes but pragmatic about
our means.
Today some suggest that multilateralism should be
our presumptive mode of engagement. Others
suggest that it is inherently flawed -- dragging
us into minor conflicts where we have no interest
and blocking us from acting decisively where we
do have an interest.
This debate is important but dangerous in the
rigidity of the doctrines that are asserted. Few
who bemoan multilateralism today object to NATO,
the IMF, or the GATT. And it is beyond debate
that multilateral action has certain advantages:
it can spread the costs of action, as in our
efforts to support Russian reform; it can foster
global support, as with our coalition in the Gulf
War; it can ensure comprehensiveness, as in our
export control regimes; and it can succeed where
no nation, acting alone, could have done so, as
in Cambodia. I would go further and state my
personal hope that the habits of multilateralism
may one day enable the rule of law to play a far
more civilizing role in the conduct of nations,
as envisioned by the founders of the United
Nations.
But for any official with responsibilities for
our security policies, only one overriding factor
can determine whether the US should act
multilaterally or unilaterally, and that is
Americas interests. We should act
multilaterally where doing so advances our
interests -- and we should act unilaterally when
that will serve our purpose. The simple question
in each instance is this: what works best?
The Case for Engagement
I believe there is a more fundamental foreign
policy challenge brewing for the United States.
It is a challenge over whether we will be
significantly engaged abroad at all. As suggested
at the outset, in many ways, we are returning to
the divisions and debates about our role in the
world that are as old as our Republic. On one
side is protectionism and limited foreign
engagement; on the other is active American
engagement abroad on behalf of democracy and
expanded trade.
The last time our nation saw that classic
division was just after World War I. It pitted
those Democrats and Republicans whose creativity
produced the architectures of post-war prosperity
and security against those in both parties who
would have had us retreat within the isolated
shell we occupied in the 1920s and 1930s. The
internationalists won those debates, in part
because they could point to a unitary threat to
America's interests and because the nation was
entering a period of
economic security.
Today's supporters of engagement abroad have
neither of those advantages. The threats and
opportunities are diffuse and our people are
deeply anxious about their economic fate.
Rallying Americans to bear the costs and burdens
of international engagement is no less important.
But it is much more difficult.
For this reason, those who recognize the value of
our leadership in the world should devote far
more energy to making the case for sustained
engagement abroad and less energy to debates over
tactics. To be sure, there will be disagreements
over tactics: we expect to be held accountable
for our policy decisions, and our critics can
expect us to respond where we disagree. But all
of us who support engagement should be careful to
debate tactics in a way that does not prevent us
from coming together in common cause around the
fundamental importance of that goal.
All of us have come out of the Cold War years
having learned distinct lessons about what not to
do -- don't go to war without a way to win; don't
underestimate the role of ideas; don't minimize
the power of nationalism. Yet we have come into
the new era with relatively few ways to convince
a skeptical public that engagement abroad is a
worthwhile investment. That is why a national
dialogue over our fundamental purposes is so
important.
In a world of extraordinary complexity, it would
be too easy for us in the Internationalist camp
to become "neo-Marxists" --not after
Karl, but after Groucho, who once sang,
"Whatever it is, I'm against it."
It is time for those who see the value of
American engagement to steady our ranks; to
define our purpose; and to rally the American
people. In particular, at a time of high deficits
and pressing domestic needs, we need to make a
convincing case for our engagement or else see
drastic reductions in our military, intelligence,
peacekeeping and other foreign policy accounts.
In his farewell address in January, 1953, Harry
Truman predicted the collapse of Communism.
"I have a deep and abiding faith in the
destiny of free men," he said. "With
patience and courage, we shall some day move on
into a new era."
Now that era is upon us. It is a moment of
unparalleled opportunity. We have the blessing of
living in the world's most powerful and respected
nation at a time when the world is embracing our
ideals as never before. We can let this moment
slip away. Or we can mobilize our nation in order
to enlarge democracy, enlarge markets, and
enlarge our future. I am confident that we will
choose the road best travelled.
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